OK, I'm going to attempt to chime-in without getting carried away with the length..
There are a TON of dynamics being ignored or not thought of in this thread. For all the reasons you can think of for doom and gloom prophecy, there are also sociological and practical/functional reasons that push the other direction. Ebb and flow..
Some of the historical examples, like Model A and T values, are missing context.. Those were never "pricey" collectibles to begin with. Most enthusiasts for affordable and common pre-war iron were interested in having fun with the thing, touring, tinkering, driving.. Problem is, on today's roads with today's traffic, they just can't slice and dice with it. That's a big contributor.. You think a Mustang is dangerous on the road today? Driving a pre-war tin lizzy is comparatively suicidal. Who wants to buy an antique car that they can't begin to consider to load their family into? So yeah, that stuff is pretty stale. But values for the desirable pre-war iron? It's not on fire, but they're far from cheap or worthless. I haven't noticed much of a paradigm shift for the stuff that suffices as "rolling art", and looks great in a collection.
For those who think that the future is "Fast and Furious", and those that are younger than us will gravitate to the cars they grew up with... Think again... The complexities of modern vehicles, all of the electronics, wiring, air-bags, computers and controls, and exponentially higher precision of manufacturing that puts it all together... It's just not realistic or practical for a reproduction parts market to exist for those cars, nor is it realistic or practical that someone can do it themselves at home with a nice array of Craftsman tools, a compressor, and a welder.. Forget that.. Just forget it, it won't happen in any serious capacity. Even guys with SN95 Mustangs are going to run into serious road blocks when the supply of serviceable used stuff dries up.
There's a "sweet spot" in cars in trucks... A sweet spot where the styling is cool and diverse and old-school, that the vehicles themselves can actually run 80mph in stock form on the freeway, and carefully piloted are capable-enough around town in traffic. A sweet spot where the systems and mechanicals and overall construction is primitive enough that a lay-person can actually "DEAL" with it at home, or with a limited amount of outsourcing. And a sweet-spot where reproduction parts manufacturers can continue to "reverse engineer" without falling completely outside of tolerance and technological and material-engineering issues.
That sweet spot is a bit rough in the 50's, but really catches wind in the 60's, and lasts up through the mid-90's, although air bags and computers and construction begins to conspire against the sweetness of the spot in the late-80's..
Our cars can run with the modern stuff, but are simple enough to be a viable hobby. I am not saying that it will continue to GROW... No... I'm just saying it's not as doomy and gloomy as you think. It's going to flatten-out, but then it's just going to trudge onward from there.. And values, they could continue to roller-coaster gradually up just as it's always been as demand stays consistent but supply continues to dwindle..
Another thing that's forgotten is that every "trend" always seems to have its counterculture, and eventually a snap in the other direction. As much as kids seem to be buried in their phones, indifferent about transportation or cars, and society seems to lean towards auto-pilot driving, that creates a vacuum in people.. Young people love to be rebellious, and the moment you pigeon-hole them as being one way, they'll say F.U., and snap another, because they hate being stereotyped.
I'm getting too damn Freudian now, but, I drive old stuff around town A LOT.. Not just Mustangs, sometimes obscure uncommon and even "weird" stuff. And I find that with younger people, the weirder or more "era-indicative", the more smiles and finger-points and attention I get. Mustangs are always loved, but holy cow, I'm a rock star when I'm out in something a bit more exotic and "they don't do that anymore" like my '71 Riviera, or a gargantuan 60's Cadillac. Young people LOSE THEIR MINDS seeing that in a parking lot, intersection or gas station. They don't know what the hell it is, but it's crazy enough that it grabs their attention. Even more than a pony car.
I'll wrap-up... I dropped my 14-year-old daughter off to high school a couple weeks back in my 1971 Thunderbird Special Brougham 2-door. It's a mint un-restored survivor. Mustard yellow, brown reptile-skin vinyl roof, yellow color-keyed hubcaps, ginger interior with yellow hopsack-cloth inserts and bright yellow accent stripes (part of the Special Brougham package)... You catch my drift?? Most of the "old folks" look at the car and go "Geeyawd... It was ugly then, and it's even UGLIER today!!.."... LOL!!
At the high school?? You'd have thought I'd just rolled up in Beyonce's latest new custom-tailored Rolls Royce. Windows down, all I could hear from all directions was "look at that car!!"... "Cool!!"... "Man, that is SWEET!!"... My daughter probably wished she had a bag over her head..
In any case, there's hope, there's a sweet spot of 30-40 years where cars were interesting, simple, and fast enough and adequate-enough handling, and every time someone tries to say "it'll be dead in 10 years", it's not... Kind of like "climate change".
When I was a kid in the 70's, my dad was the "young guy" in the CTCI, doing 55-57 T-bird shows all over the country. Back then, most of the participants were gray-haired retirees, and most of them were sure that the hobby was doomed as soon as they croaked.
The ACTUAL reality is that retired people are more likely to have the time and the funds, and aren't shackled by vacation hours accrued to travel to an event.
It's always been this way.
And I hope to hell I'm right!! LOL..
Last edited by 69bossnine; 09-12-2019 at 03:42 PM.